
Emkay Global says Indian equities may be more sensitive to oil prices, the dollar and US Treasury yields than to the Nov. 3 US midterm results.
It warns renewed Iran tensions could push oil higher and weigh on the rupee.
Higher oil from Iran tensions would worsen India's balance of payments and pressure the rupee, raising import costs for feed inputs.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.