Dutch TTF gas futures for December delivery rose about 4.9% to 102.78 euros per megawatt-hour, after exceeding 100 euros on Wednesday. The contract is up about 36% for the month and 256% for the year.
Surging European gas prices raise fertilizer production costs for nitrogen products and feed-related energy costs, supporting urea and feed grain values.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.