
Signal Dry's weekly monitor reports that Russian grain shipments rose about 15% over the first half of 2024, with Egypt becoming the top destination at roughly 20% of volume, ahead of Turkey. It also notes that Capesize rates from Brazil to North China were weakening, with more ballast vessels than the annual average.
A shift in Russian export destinations and softer Capesize rates point to changing trade flows and possible shipping oversupply, which can weigh on freight costs for grain cargoes.
After 206 past neutral trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.