
The dollar fell to its lowest in over two months against the yen on Wednesday as short-yen carry trades were unwound ahead of the BOJ meeting. Investors expected the BOJ to debate a rate hike and a plan to halve bond purchases.
Few expected the Fed to begin cutting rates that month, though its messaging for a September pivot was expected to strengthen.
Currency moves ahead of central bank meetings drive short-term dollar and yen swings that affect dollar-priced commodity competitiveness. The impact on feed prices is modest.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.