
USDA's July Cattle on Feed report showed July 1 on-feed inventory at about 11.2 million head, roughly 0.5% above 2023. June placements fell nearly 7% year over year, and first-half 2024 placements were down 3.2%.
Lower feeder cattle placements point to tighter feeder supplies ahead, supporting feeder cattle prices and reinforcing the case for firm cattle values.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The July Cattle on Feed report showed on-feed inventory above last year, which could weigh on sentiment even though placements were lower, supporting a pullback from record-high prices.