
USDA ERS raised its 2024 feeder steer price forecast to $258.50/cwt and third-quarter forecast to $269, citing tight supplies. Oklahoma City feeder steer prices averaged $263.47/cwt in June, and imports of feeder cattle from Canada and Mexico rose year over year.
A tighter feeder supply and higher price outlook point to firm cattle demand for feed, with relatively cheaper corn supporting feedlot margins.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.