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Niti Aayog member Ramesh Chand says India's year-old ban on non-basmati white rice exports could be lifted given strong rains, larger plantings and comfortable stocks. Kharif rice sowing is up 14% year on year.
A lifted export ban would release Indian rice supply to the world market, which would be bearish for global rough rice prices.
After 100 past bearish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.