
OPEC cut its 2024 global oil demand growth forecast to 2.11 million barrels per day, citing weaker expectations for China. The report highlights the difficulty OPEC+ faces in raising production from October.
A weaker demand outlook, especially from China, points to a looser crude market and downward pressure on prices. Lower energy costs ease diesel and freight expenses for feed buyers.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.