Aguia wins 3-yr court battle to launch Brazilian phosphate mine

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 50 past bearish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.1% to +1.6%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Dec 16, 2019Diammonium phosphate to come down in Bangladesh — Fertilizer Daily+2.7%
• Feb 1, 2026US to review tariffs on Moroccan, Russian phosphate fertilizer imports+1.2%
• Apr 30, 2026New bill in the U.S. Senate aims to lower price of phosphate fertilizers | Farm Office+4.8%
• Dec 17, 2024Morocco's phosphate drive+1.7%
• Apr 27, 2023Amit Shah launches nano DAP to cut import bill-11.9%