
Bank Indonesia says US economic data released overnight came in stronger than market expectations, lifting the US dollar and weighing on the rupiah. BI remains optimistic that the rupiah has room to strengthen given solid fundamentals and a smooth leadership transition.
A stronger dollar and weaker rupiah raise the cost of imported feed inputs for Indonesia, while currency swings affect local buyers' purchasing power for soymeal and corn.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.