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Gold fell as the dollar and Treasury yields rose after data showed slower progress toward low inflation since mid-year. Markets priced an 82% chance of a Fed rate cut in December, up from about 58% before the data.
Slower disinflation raises the chance the Fed holds rates higher for longer, which supports the dollar and pressures dollar-priced commodities such as grains and meals.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.