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Analysis argues the euro is still too strong for the subdued growth and trade risks facing the euro zone next year. It suggests the currency's depreciation may be encouraged and could support a deeper ECB rate cut.
Expected euro weakness and further ECB easing would strengthen the dollar and could make US exports marginally less competitive in European markets.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.