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A Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture outlook reviews the Republican agenda after the November elections. It highlights trade, energy, regulation and immigration as key issues affecting agricultural costs and markets.
It notes that the first Trump administration needed about $28 billion in farm aid to offset trade-war losses.
The analysis signals that renewed trade aggression could again require large farm support and disrupt export markets. The outlook is general and does not point to an immediate price move.
ag.purdue.eduMorgan FrenchJan 31, 2025After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
