
China's yuan has lost 2.2% against the dollar since Trump's November election win, as tariff threats heighten Sino-US tensions and discourage inbound foreign investment. Authorities are also stepping up scrutiny of capital flows.
The yield gap between US and Chinese rates hit its widest level ever in January.
A weaker yuan raises the dollar cost of Chinese purchases of US farm goods, which can weigh on US export demand. The effect on feed commodity prices is indirect and modest.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.