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The DOE's estimate for US diesel demand rose to a second consecutive three-year high. Utilities drew heavily on diesel during the January cold spike to meet electricity needs.
Basis differentials for ULSD and heating oil fell sharply in the New York Harbor spot market.
Strong utility diesel burn supports prices, but the sharp drop in spot basis suggests the January squeeze is easing. Futures may follow spot lower if that trend holds.
tacenergy.comFeb 6, 2025After 109 past bullish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
