
US producer prices rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4% in January 2025, above the 0.3% forecast, while core PPI rose 0.3% in line with expectations. Over the past year, the all-items index rose 3.5%, and futures pricing shifted to expect no Fed rate cut soon.
The hotter-than-expected headline number pushes back rate-cut expectations, which tends to support the dollar, though the core reading was in line and the effect on feed prices is modest.
After 139 past report events, DXY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.4%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.