
Brazil's Treasury offered a record 10 million long-term fixed-rate bonds (NTN-F) plus 20 million T-bills on March 20, 2025, after the central bank raised the Selic rate by 100 basis points to 14.25%. Yields rose sharply, with the January 2027 DI rate climbing from 14.40% to 14.69%.
Higher Brazilian rates tighten financial conditions and can strengthen the real, which affects the dollar cost of Brazilian grain and meal exports. The impact on feed commodity prices is indirect and modest.
After 92 past neutral macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.