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The euro held near $1.08 as investors weighed mixed eurozone inflation readings and reciprocal US tariffs set to take effect on April 2. The euro was on track for a 3.1% monthly gain, supported by broad dollar weakness and Germany's fiscal package.
Broad dollar weakness tends to support US commodity prices in dollar terms and makes US exports more competitive, while tariff uncertainty adds volatility to feed trade flows. The move is routine currency commentary without a direct feed-market shock.
tradingview.comMar 31, 2025After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
