
Between July 1, 2024 and April 6, 2025, the EU imported 3.4 million metric tons of U.S. corn, up from 114,000 tons a year earlier. The United States rose to become the EU's No. 2 corn supplier behind Ukraine, passing Brazil.
The report says new EU tariffs are expected to curb these U.S. corn imports, while soybeans face lower risk for now.
EU tariffs on U.S. corn would redirect demand toward Ukraine and Brazil, weakening U.S. corn export sales to Europe. Soybeans are less exposed, so their price impact is limited.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.