The big chill: How canola farmers are adapting to trade blows

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jun 12, 2017How the World's Farmers Went to Work for China-0.6%
• Feb 6, 2018Sorghum farmers are the first victims in growing trade dispute between China and the U.S.+1.3%
• May 23, 2018U.S.-China trade row sows confusion in farmer planting plans-0.5%
• Aug 18, 2022Farmers’ voices continue to reiterate ag trade issues+0.4%
• Dec 20, 2017Ohio grain farmers talk trade and farm bill - Farm and Dairy+0.9%

After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Jul 23, 2019U.S. farmers look past trade fears to cash in on China's hog crisis-1.4%
• Apr 3, 2019Farmers delay pricing soy in Argentina trade-currency wager-0.5%
• Mar 25, 2022China's hog farmers face long slog in return to profit | Reuters-3.8%
• Apr 2, 2025Farmers encounter a tale of two canola tariffs | The Western Producer+0.1%
• Mar 20, 2025Canadian farmers face two-front trade war as China duties take effect | Reuters-1.0%