The CropGPT weather report for April 21, 2025 shows Occitanie's 28-day average temperature below the long-term average, with four-week rainfall exceeding the long-term average and setting a new record for the period. Nouvelle-Aquitaine's four-week rainfall was about three times its long-term average, above the 2008 record for the period.
Excessive rain across key French wheat regions raises the risk of disease and yield loss, which is supportive for wheat prices if it persists.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record April rainfall in French wheat regions (Occitanie, Nouvelle-Aquitaine) raises crop-quality and disease concerns for EU supply, a plausible supportive factor for wheat on the day.