
The Western Producer reviews global spring weather affecting grain markets. Some dry corn areas in southern Brazil and elsewhere are noted, and Brazil's second corn crop is huge, with Conab forecasting total Brazilian corn at 122.76 million tonnes, up 6% year on year.
The La Niña has largely faded into a neutral phase.
A large forecast Brazilian corn crop adds export competition and eases feed corn tightness, which is mildly bearish for corn, while dryness in some areas is a watch item.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.