
Diesel futures sold off as recent demand data showed distillate consumption down 12% year over year and gasoline down just over 7%. Trucking tonnage fell 1.8% over two months and US port volumes are reported down sharply as importers pause purchases due to tariffs.
Weaker freight demand and tariff-driven drops in port volume reduce diesel demand and pressure prices lower. Softer goods movement can also cut trucking costs for feed transport.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.