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USDA's May WASDE forecasts Canadian canola exports of 7.6 million tonnes for 2025-26, down from 8.75 million in the current campaign. USDA says it did not factor in China's anti-dumping investigation into Canadian canola seed, launched September 2024, because current policies still allow imports.
If China restricts Canadian canola seed after the probe, a large export market could be lost, pressuring Canadian canola and related meal prices while supporting alternative origins.
producer.comSean PrattMay 15, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
