Rock phosphate prices rose 10-20% in the past month across Jordan, Morocco, Togo and Egypt, following a rise in phosphoric acid prices. India's NBS policy, which raised phosphate subsidies by 45% in March, pushed DAP import prices up 13-17%.
Sulphur costs also rose sharply.
Higher subsidy-backed DAP demand and rising input costs lift phosphate fertilizer prices, which squeezes margins for processors and raises costs for feed phosphate buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.