
Latin American currencies hit a record high on Monday as the regional MSCI currency index rose 0.6% and equities gained 1.9%, despite escalating Iran-Israel hostilities. Investors also awaited interest rate decisions from Brazil and Chile.
A stronger Latam currency basket trims the cost of dollar-priced imports for Brazilian and other regional feed buyers, while the Middle East conflict adds energy-price risk.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.