
Malaysia's palm oil exports fell 7.4% in the first half of 2025 to 11.39 million tonnes, according to MPOB, with weaker demand from India, China and the EU. MPOB expects exports to recover in the second half, supported by Indian festive restocking, attractive pricing and lower import duties on crude vegetable oils.
A forecast H2 export recovery, especially from India, supports palm prices, though full-year Malaysian exports are still projected 5.3% lower than 2024. Feed buyers should watch Indian import demand for vegetable oil pricing.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.