
OPEC+ agreed to raise oil production by about 547,000 barrels per day for September, completing the phase-out of its largest voluntary output cut. Oil prices were reported weaker on the news.
Additional supply from OPEC+ adds to oversupply concerns, pressuring crude prices and, through energy costs, feed production and freight expenses.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.