
The yen rose in Asian trading as the dollar was defensive ahead of a possible US government shutdown. A split on the Bank of Japan board raised the chance of a rate hike in October, with markets pricing roughly a 50% probability.
Currency swings of this size shift the relative cost of US and Japanese purchases of feed inputs, but they have a limited direct effect on feed commodity prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.