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The US dollar fell to four-day lows around 97.6 to 97.7 as concerns grew over a possible US government shutdown and expectations for further Fed rate cuts. Euro, sterling and yen all gained against the greenback.
A softer dollar supports dollar-priced commodity markets, which can lift feed grain and oilseed prices for importers. The shutdown risk also threatens delays to key US data.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.