
China's fertilizer trade in the first three quarters of 2025 showed rising exports in volume and value and declining imports. September exports rose sharply year on year, while potash domestic prices were described as weak but supported by several factors.
Stronger Chinese fertilizer export flows add supply to global markets, which can ease prices for urea and phosphate inputs that feed into feed costs.
After 81 past bearish trade events, Urea moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (28% higher; middle half -7.2% to +0.4%), and -5.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.