AUD/USD steadies as RBA rate cut bets ease, Fed decision in focus

After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Aug 2, 2024Dollar hits four-month low as weak US jobs data boosts rate cut bets-1.2%
• Apr 28, 2021Fed decision April 2021: Interest rates held near zero, sees faster growth+1.8%
• Oct 31, 2023US dollar falls as markets believe Fed is done hiking rates | Reuters+4.5%
• Oct 30, 2025Dollar rises against the real, still influenced by Fed decision | Brasil 247+3.7%
• Aug 22, 2025Canadian dollar rallies the most in three months as Fed’s Powell signals possible rate cut - The Globe and Mail-0.6%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.