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The USDA projects Brazilian ethanol exports will fall to 1.5 billion liters in 2025 because domestic production has become less cost-competitive. Imports are expected to rise about 80%.
A shift from exports to imports reflects a change in Brazil's ethanol balance that has little direct effect on feed-grain prices. Any impact on corn would come through longer-term biofuel demand.
qcintel.comOct 1, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,982 past trade events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
