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Datagro projects Brazil's corn ethanol capacity, including plants under construction and planned, will reach 24.7 billion liters by 2034, roughly matching sugarcane ethanol output. Corn ethanol is also much cheaper to produce than cane ethanol at current corn and DDG prices.
Rapid growth in corn ethanol adds sizeable new corn demand in Brazil, which could tighten domestic corn balances and support prices over the next decade. The shift is structural and gradual rather than a near-term shock.
valorinternational.globo.comCamila Souza RamosOct 23, 2025After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
