
As of October 27, FranceAgriMer reported 68% of planned winter soft wheat area sown, ahead of last year and the five-year average. Winter barley sowing reached 80% and 82% of the French corn area had been harvested.
Fast sowing and harvest progress point to normal French supply prospects, which is mildly bearish for European wheat and feed grain prices.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.