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Expana raised its monthly EU grain production forecast for 2025/26, lifting soft wheat output by 0.3 million tons to 136.4 million tons, a record high. Barley was revised up 0.2 million tons to 56.4 million tons, a 17-year high, and maize output exceeded expectations.
A larger EU cereal crop adds exportable supply and weighs on wheat and barley prices and feed grain availability for buyers.
reuters.comOct 9, 2025After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
