
USDA's quarterly stocks report on Sept. 30 raised corn stocks to 1.532 billion bushels, 207 million above the September WASDE projection.
Analyst Jerry Gulke said the increase lifts new-crop carryout to roughly 2.3 to 2.5 billion bushels and questions the reliability of USDA's data-driven reports.
Higher carryout expectations weigh on corn futures and reduce the price support for feed ingredients that compete with corn.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.