
StoneX reports Canadian durum production at 5.7 million tonnes against Statistics Canada's 6.07 million, with ample visible stocks of 679,000 tonnes. Canadian oat domestic use is pacing at 768,000 tonnes against 936,000 last year, with exports 1.371 million tonnes against a 1.5 million benchmark.
Ample durum stocks and weak oat demand point to soft Canadian grain prices, and buyers may find oat supplies available at competitive prices.
After 72 past bearish report events, Oats moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.7% to +3.8%), and -2.5% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.