
China's sow herd fell below 40 million at end-October, down from 40.35 million in September, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs. The ministry urged major hog producers to cut output and said it would dynamically adjust the national sow herd target.
Government-directed herd reduction lowers future hog output and therefore reduces expected feed grain and soymeal demand, a bearish signal for feed ingredients and a potential support for hog prices over time.
After 37 past bullish policy events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -2.8% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.