
The dollar index fell 0.44% on Tuesday after weaker-than-expected September retail sales, core PPI and weekly ADP data. The Conference Board's November consumer confidence index also fell to a seven-month low, and markets priced an 80% chance of a December Fed cut.
Softer US data and lower Treasury yields narrow rate differentials and weaken the dollar, which supports dollar-priced commodities. Stronger demand from a rate cut would also help commodity prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.