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The World Bank's natural gas price index rose 5% in November after a 5% drop in Q3. US benchmark prices diverged from Europe, where prices have fallen every month since June to their lowest since spring 2024, as US prices broke above $5/mmBtu in early December.
Global gas demand growth was weak in 2025 and is expected to recover moderately in 2026.
The widening US-Europe spread shows LNG flows are reshaping global gas balances. US gas costs for fertilizer and energy-intensive inputs stay high while European costs stay low.
blogs.worldbank.orgPaolo Agnolucci, Nikita MakarenkoDec 9, 2025After 40 past neutral report events, NATGAS moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -3.5% to +2.8%), and +4.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
