
Australian Bureau of Statistics data showed Q4 core inflation running hotter than economists expected, which raised bets on a Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike at its next meeting. The Australian dollar rallied 1.4% overnight to a three-year high as the greenback fell, then eased to about $0.6997.
Higher expected Australian rates widen yield gaps and push the Aussie stronger against the US dollar. For feed buyers, a firmer AUD can make Australian barley and wheat slightly more expensive for dollar-based importers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.