
USD/MXN has fallen more than 3% since the start of 2026, approaching the 17 per dollar level not seen in several years. The analysis ties the move to dollar weakness amid diplomatic tensions, including Trump's Greenland remarks at Davos.
A stronger peso lowers the peso cost of imported US feed ingredients for Mexican buyers, while dollar weakness can support dollar-denominated grain prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.