OPEC+ Likely to Stick With Supply Pause in March, Delegates Say

After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Jan 26, 2024OPEC+ Doesn’t Plan Any Changes to Oil-Output Policy Next Week, Delegates Say - Bloomberg-4.6%
• Jan 4, 2026OPEC+ Sticks With Plan to Keep Oil Flow Steady Amid Turmoil - Bloomberg+3.1%
• Oct 31, 2022OPEC Says Supply Surplus Was Main Reason for Oil Production Cut - Bloomberg+5.4%
• Jul 28, 2026OPEC+ likely to pause oil output hikes after September, sources say | Reuters-2.7%
• Dec 2, 2021OPEC+ Sticks to Planned Supply Hike But Adds a Get-Out Clause - TT+10.6%

After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jan 26, 2024OPEC+ Doesn’t Plan Any Changes to Oil-Output Policy Next Week, Delegates Say - Bloomberg-2.4%
• Jan 4, 2026OPEC+ Sticks With Plan to Keep Oil Flow Steady Amid Turmoil - Bloomberg+4.7%
• Oct 31, 2022OPEC Says Supply Surplus Was Main Reason for Oil Production Cut - Bloomberg+4.0%
• Jul 28, 2026OPEC+ likely to pause oil output hikes after September, sources say | Reuters-4.2%
• Dec 2, 2021OPEC+ Sticks to Planned Supply Hike But Adds a Get-Out Clause - TT+9.7%