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The India Meteorological Department expects above-normal temperatures in February and below-average rainfall over Northwest India, which could harm standing rabi crops. Early maturity of wheat, barley, mustard and pulses could cut yields, though irrigation and climate-resistant varieties offset some risk.
Heat stress on Indian wheat and barley could tighten some feed grain supply in South Asia and marginally support global wheat and barley prices.
business-standard.comSanjeeb MukherjeeJan 31, 2026After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
