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Broker MBS forecasts the USD/VND rate will rise 2.5-3% in 2026 and attributes recent dong pressure to a weaker dollar, a Federal Reserve New York rate check and talk of possible US-Japan yen intervention. The dollar index fell close to a four-year low in January after Trump's remarks that a weaker dollar was 'very good'.
A weaker dollar tends to support dollar-priced commodities such as grains and soybean meal, while a stronger dong reduces import costs for Vietnamese feed makers. The forecast implies modest dong weakening over the year.
theinvestor.vnTa Phu, Quang NguyenFeb 14, 2026After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
