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The National Rice Union of Russia estimates rough rice prices have dropped 35-40%, cutting producer profitability to 7-12% by end-2025. Growers blame higher production and accumulated unsold stocks, with export quotas hard to use.
Surplus Russian rice stocks and falling domestic prices weigh on the global rice complex and reduce the incentive for producers to plant more.
tridge.comFeb 13, 2026After 141 past bearish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.4%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
