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The World Bank projects its agricultural price index to fall about 2% in 2026, with food and raw material prices broadly steady as supply keeps pace with demand. Beverage prices are forecast to drop about 7%.
Upside risks include extreme weather, easing trade tensions and higher fertilizer input costs.
A stable-to-softer outlook suggests limited upward pressure on feed ingredient prices over the year. Risks from weather, trade and natural gas costs could still shift prices.
blogs.worldbank.orgJohn Baffes, Dawit Mekonnen, Kaltrina TemajFeb 3, 2026After 3,207 past report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,389 past report events, Soybeans moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 2,447 past report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 349 past report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
