
The dollar held near recent highs after a 1% Friday rally sparked by Trump's pick of Kevin Warsh as next Fed chair. Plunging precious metals and oil weighed on commodity-linked currencies, and the yen was in focus after Japan's prime minister talked up a weaker yen.
Expectations of a Warsh-led Fed are seen as dollar-supportive, which pressures commodity prices and commodity-linked currencies such as the Brazilian real and Canadian dollar.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.