EU risks losing US soy imports under deforestation rules, Washington warns

After 696 past bullish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Mar 13, 2026EU deforestation law will damage trade with US, Trump official warns – POLITICO-3.7%
• Aug 29, 2024Soybeans rise as demand for US exports blows past expectations+5.2%
• Apr 25, 2022China trade: imports of US soybeans rise as Ukraine war, South America drought limit sources | South China Morning Post-0.5%
• Nov 7, 2017China to pledge more US soy imports during Trump visit | The Western Producer-2.1%
• Jul 30, 2018Loading up on Uncertainty – Soy Crush Perspectives in Importing Regions - Rabobank+1.8%

After 342 past bullish trade events, SBM moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Mar 13, 2026EU deforestation law will damage trade with US, Trump official warns – POLITICO+2.3%
• Aug 29, 2024Soybeans rise as demand for US exports blows past expectations+3.2%
• Apr 25, 2022China trade: imports of US soybeans rise as Ukraine war, South America drought limit sources | South China Morning Post-3.8%
• Mar 30, 2018U.S. ambassador warns against China curbing American soy imports: Bloomberg+0.6%
• Jun 8, 2020EU DATA: Soybean meal imports in 2019-20 rise 2% on year, soybean imports up 1%-0.0%